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Lakers vs Blazers

Lakers The Lakers open a three-game road trip Monday night, looking to avoid losing their seventh straight game in Portland against a Trail Blazers team seeking its 12th consecutive victory at the Rose Garden.

Los Angeles (50-12) owns the league’s best record and has built an eight-game lead atop the Western Conference, but looked rather ordinary a week ago after losses at Denver and Phoenix.

Blazers went 4-0 SU against the Lakers all in the Garden. These stats mean just as little as the 7-21 ats i’ve seen from the lakers in the last 28 and the 22-5 ats i’ve seen from the underdog in the last 27. 27 games ago Shaq was on the lakers… and the blazers were still sobbing over their choke in the western conference finals. History doesn’t mean much past 2 years ago.

What you need to consider is the Lakers outplayed them substantially in LA both meetings this year and that was with  Greg Oden. I know there are a lot of haters who say Oden is a bust, well you’re wrong. We all know stat sheets only cover so much but what Oden excels in doesn’t have a spot under the stat sheet. His presence down low that causes driving guards to kick out and run the shot clock down isn’t on the stat sheet. Channing Frye is sharing minues with Pryzbilla because of the Oden injury and is no match for any player on the Lakers.

The Blazers have looked good at home. They play up against good teams at home- beating Boston, Denver, Houston, Phoenix, etc. Playing down and barely beating bad teams at home- Indiana, Minnesota, losing to the Clippers in overtime.

Both teams are up and down. You never know what Lakers team you’re going to see. If they’re going to win by 20 or by 2 after a 2nd half hold. Blazers are the same way, do they shoot well or do they lose the first half by 10 just to come back and win the game by 1 on a last second shot by Roy?
Roy, who is averaging 28.3 points and shooting 61.8 percent in three home games this month, scored just 14 in Portland’s 96-76 loss to the Lakers in both teams’ season opener on Oct. 28. He missed the second meeting, a 100-86 Blazers loss on Jan. 4, with a strained right hamstring.

For tomorrow’s game i thought it would be a pk, or a Blazers -1.5. However the Lakers are -2,5 and I’m not sure what to think. I think that the Lakers will jump out to a 7-11 point lead by the half where my Lakers -2,5 line will look good.  However I see the Lakers with a strong 4th quarter holding off the Blazers.

Today’s free NBA tip is :

Play Lakers -2,5 only at Pinnacle @1,952

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